As you know, the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) is an extremely important part of the federal retirement system. The TSP is widely recognized as one of the finest, most elegantly simple, and popular retirement plans of its kind. As of December 31, 2015, there were approximately 4.8 million participants and over $458 billion in assets under management. The TSP is the largest defined contribution retirement plan in the world. However, we have found that the majority of these investors do not have the proper guidance required to maximize the growth of their savings. Our stock trading service is exclusively devoted to helping federal employees increase their thrift retirement savings using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis, and our mechanical system. Our track record speaks for itself!
Overall Performance of our TSP System: Since the inception of our service on January 1, 2005 to the end of 2016, if a member started with $100,000, his/her initial savings would have increased to $495,310 using our real-time trading returns. For the same time period, the buy-and-hold strategy of investing would have only increased to $197,834, while the G Fund increased only to $142,066. These results do not include profits made during year 2017. In addition, our returns are not compounded and are only based on arithmetic computations (i.e., summing profits and losses).
All trades adhere to the New Interfund Transfer Rule. The performance bar chart and table below display our overall results:
Performance Line Chart
click to enlarge
Tables of Our Trading Results
Performance Bar Chart
The two main facts to observe from the table are: (1) the longevity of our service, and (2) our results consistently beat the buy-and-hold strategy of the market over the long haul. If your current trading style is not making these returns, we encourage you to Join Now and become part of our growing number of federal government employees & military personnel who are prospering from our valuable service!
Year 2017 Results (End-of-Month Close: 02/28/17) — We are starting out the year with excellent returns. Our members are up +4.80% in the New Year. The buy-and-hold strategy is up +3.26%. The G Fund is up +0.38%. We are forecasting a very prosperous year for our members! Join Now!
On 12/30/16, our distribution was 25% S, 75% I. On 02/16/17, we made an IFT to 100% G Fund. Find out when we will get back into the market.
Cumulative Results (2005-2016) — Our IFT Allocation Service has profited an average of +14.06% per year. The average gain for the buy-and-hold strategy was only +6.67% per year. The G Fund only returned +2.92%.
Current 3-Year Average — Our IFT Allocation Service has a current 3-year average of +9.94%. The buy-and-hold strategy's average during this period is +4.40%. We have outperformed the buy-and-hold strategy by an average of +5.54%. The G Fund only returned +2.04%.
Year 2014 Results — Our members profited +14.69% in Year 2014. The buy-and-hold strategy only profited +5.51%. The G Fund returned +2.26%.
Year 2015 Results — Our members profited +10.39% in Year 2015. The buy-and-hold strategy only profited +0.34%. The G Fund returned +2.04%.
Year 2016 Results — Our members profited +4.73% in Year 2016. The buy-and-hold strategy profited +7.34%. The G Fund returned +1.82%.
Year 2016 was a very tough year for all technical analysts and market timers. The year presented one of the highest volatile markets on record. The markets crashed in early Jan (signaling a tough year), high volatility in Feb, raced back during March, high volatility from April to July, breakout in July, followed by a declining channel from Aug through Oct, then surged in Nov-Dec. All research papers said it was going to be a bearish year after seeing how January traded. The positive aspect from this year is that we now have a higher clarity of the big picture for 2017. We will continue to adhere to our winning methodology.
Our main goal is to maximize our TSP savings during bull market cycles and protect capital during potentially unstable market periods.
In addition to using technical and fundamental analysis, we are now validating our interpretation by using a mechanical impulse system. The impulse system uses a combination of trend following and momentum, which maximizes gains when the market is trending.
Become a member today to our valuable service and gain an understanding of the market in our very comprehensive newsletter. And more importantly, you will have access to our current and future allocations if you Join Now!
About Our Service:
Our proprietary methodology uses both technical and fundamental analysis for trading the funds of the Thrift Savings Plan — G Fund, F Fund, C Fund, S Fund, and I Fund. Our number one goal is to produce results that consistently beat the buy-and-hold strategy of investing. The buy-and-hold is a terrible way to invest, since it takes years to recover when the market crashes.
The two primary long term trends of the stock market are either a secular bull market or a secular bear market. Secular bull markets can sometimes last over twenty years. The most prosperous secular bull markets were from 1943-66 and 1983-2000. On the other hand, secular bear markets normally last between 10-14 years and sometimes longer. Since year 2000, the market has been in a secular bear market. Within any secular market, there will be many bull and bear market cycles.
The latest bear cycle occurred when the S&P crashed over 57% in 2008 (see the chart above). The market then experienced the next bull cycle beginning in March '09. The buy-and-hold strategy will become an excellent way to invest only when we are in a secular bull market. When we reach the beginning of the new secular bull market, then we will heavily invest in the stock funds. During a secular bull market, we can continue to outperform the market by allocating in the stock funds that are interpreted to provide the highest reward/lowest risk. During a secular bear market (like the present one that began in year 2000), it is critical that we trade our accounts so that: (1) we protect our capital during a crash within a bear cycle, and (2) continue to outperform the buy-and-hold strategy of investing for bull and bear cycles.
Reasons why it is imperative to trade the stock market as opposed to the buy-and-hold strategy can be viewed in a few charts which graphically show: (1) historical secular bull and bear markets of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, (2) secular markets explained by trends in the price/earnings ratios (P/E) of the S&P 500 Index, and (3) how just by using a simple price and moving average crossover technique applied to a bear and bull cycle of the S&P 500 Index will 'greatly' outperform the buy-and-hold strategy of investing. Our proprietary methodology focuses on a combination of technical elements and our mechanical system. The combination of these methods maintain a tight control on losses and maximize gains.
As a member you will receive:
Members will have access to the exclusive Members Only page with the latest
|"TSPFundTrading.com's Weekly Newsletter"|
with Professional Chart Analysis & Commentary
The newsletter will be posted on the Members Only page each Friday to update members with our fundamental and technical interpretation of the market and the future short- to intermediate-term outlook. We will provide our recommendations for attaining the highest-reward/lowest-risk in the various funds for the short-term. A few elements we will focus on include:
|Current Fund Distribution|
This section will provide our current percentage breakdown for the various funds in order to achieve the highest-reward / lowest-risk results.
Members will receive an e-mail alert when we believe it is best to make an Interfund Transfer; meaning there has been a change in percentage distribution of funds (see sample). Members will also receive an e-mail each Friday, as a reminder that our weekly newsletter has been posted on the members page.
|First-Class Member Support|
Members will receive full privacy protection, and will absolutely not receive spam or advertisements.
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